A wave of resentment rocked the BJP’s confidence after it denied popular MLA Shyamdev Roy Chaudhury, or Dada, a ticket, prompting a visit from Modi himself.
Till the third phase of the UP assembly elections, the BJP had a relatively quiet campaign, but it seems to have changed its tactic mid-way through the fourth phase, making excessive use of the prime minister.
In eastern UP, the BJP appears to be struggling, while the BSP seems secure.
The BSP and Congress-SP alliance are focusing on minority votes, the BJP is hoping that Muslim votes are split between the other parties.
As the BSP and SP lock horns in the fourth phase of UP’s assembly elections, the BJP hopes to accrue the benefits of this competition.
Political fallout from the selection of candidates and the realignment of voter communities is making a Samajwadi Party victory unlikely in phase three of the assembly elections.
A look at how the BJP’s cadres are canvassing for votes in UP’s Farrukhabad district.
The BJP and the BSP have made inroads into several districts across the phase two region, a Samajwadi Party stronghold since the 2012 elections.
In poll-bound Uttar Pradesh, politicians who were hoarding black money for campaign purposes found several loopholes to get around demonetisation.
While the BJP and the BSP will gain from its troubles, the Samjawadi Party’s prospects of returning to power will suffer if it fails to repeat its 2012 performance in these areas.
Thanks in part to demonetisation, a Dalit consolidation of sorts seems to be occurring in western UP, which could spell trouble for the BJP.
Party cadres in Mathura are unhappy with the BJP’s choice of Shrikant Sharma as its candidate from that seat and as its likely chief ministerial pick.
Western UP residents say they will choose who to vote for depending on the communities the candidates belong to and who they are seen as supporting.
Recent communal violence may have shifted the tide towards the ruling Samajwadi Party and the BJP, but it is unwise to rule Mayawati’s BSP out of the race, at least in Bijnor.