India Likely to Lose 7 Million Jobs by 2050, Says Study

Civil society group PRAHAR says farmers, petty retail vendors, contract labourers and construction workers are most vulnerable to livelihood threats.

New Delhi: As many as 550 jobs have disappeared every day in last four years and if this trend continues, employment will shrink by 7 million within 2050, a study has claimed. Farmers, petty retail vendors, contract labourers and construction workers are the most vulnerable sections facing never before livelihood threats in India today, the study by Delhi-based civil society group, PRAHAR has said. As per the data released by the labour bureau in early 2016, India created only 1.35 lakh jobs in 2015 in comparison to 4.19 lakh in 2013 and 9 lakh in 2011, the group said in a statement.

“A deeper analysis of the data reveals a rather scary picture. Instead of growing, livelihoods are being lost in India on a daily basis. As many as 550 jobs are lost in India every day (in last four year as per labour bureau data) which means that by 2050, jobs in India would have got reduced by 7 million, while population would have grown by 600 million,” the statement said. The data clearly points to the fact that job creation in India is successively slowing down, which is very alarming, it pointed out.

“This (rise in unemployment) is because sectors which are the largest contributor of jobs are worst-affected. Agriculture contributes to 50% of employment in India followed by SME (small and medium sized enterprises) sector which employs 40% of the workforce of the country,” the statement said.

The organised sector actually only contributes less than 1% to employment in India. India only has about 30 million jobs in the organised sector and nearly 440 million in the unorganised sector.

According to the World Bank data, percentage of employment in agriculture out of total employment in India has come down to 50% in 2013 from 60% in 1994.

It said that the labour intensity of small and medium enterprises is four times higher than that of large firms.

It further said that the multinationals are particularly capitalistic, a fact vindicated during investment commitments of USD 225 million made for the next five years during the Make in India Week in February 2016.

However, what went unnoticed is that these investments would translate into creation of only 6 million jobs, it said.

“India needs to go back to the basics and protect sectors like farming, unorganised retail, micro and small enterprises which contribute to 99 per cent of current livelihoods in the country. These sectors need support from the government not regulation. India needs smart villages and not smart cities in the 21st century,” it added.

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