India needs to improve connectivity infrastructure and industrial laws to raise its ranking in world trade.
Global commerce has been changing since the late 20th century. Rather than trade finished products, such as cars, countries now exchange parts and components that, together, produce a finished commodity.
Facilitated by lower transportation and communication costs, the inputs of production can be sourced from the most economical place. Every country that participates in world trade today has its place in this global value chain.
For emerging nations, engaging in global value chains is key to their economic development. According to the United Nations, there appears to be a positive correlation between participation in this system and GDP per capita growth rates.
India gets involved
India, with its low labour costs and huge workforce, knows this well. Since the mid-1990s, it has made efforts to increase both trade volume and value-chain engagement.
India’s participation in global value chains has risen from 57th place in 1995 to 45th place in 2009, according to the the OECD Trade in Value Added Statistics, which ranks the biggest players in global commerce.
Tracking the specific value chains for a country across the globe paints a revelatory picture of its economic integration by sector. In manufacturing, for instance, India is more closely linked to Asia and the southeast Asian region, especially for electrical and optical equipment. Services, on the other hand, show more integration with western countries such as the US, the UK, a few European nations and Hong Kong.
A few sectors are standouts, including the “manufacturing not elsewhere classified” and recycling sector, which includes gems and jewellery, where India ranks second.
Computer, software support and other information technology-related services that have been the engine of India’s growth over the last 15 years also compete well globally. In business and other services, India ranks sixth and 13th in the OCED’s report.
Textiles, an employment-intensive sector where Indian exports have traditionally flourished, continues to perform strongly, placing the country at number 13 in textile value-chain participation. India has also seen gains in the electrical and optical equipment and transport equipment sectors, with its trade participation ranking jumping from 50th to 31st and 33rd, respectively.
All this growth is good news, as expanding manufacturing is at the core of India’s efforts to create jobs for large volumes of low-skilled workers. But there is room for improvement.
Upping the free trade ante
To keep it up, India will need to double down on its free trade agreements (FTAs). The country has negotiated several such deals, which facilitate international commerce by reducing tariffs and other barriers to exports, with Canada, Australia, Israel and dozens of other countries.
But the utilisation rate of these deals ranges from 5% to 15%, meaning that it is doing relatively low commerce for goods eligible for free-trade benefits.
Rules of origin refer to the exporting country’s value-added share of a final product. Normally, an FTA benefit is given to an import from an FTA partner only if that country is responsible for adding a certain percentage of the product’s total final value. Most of India’s FTAs put this requirement at 35% to 40%.
In theory, this rule protects India by preventing other countries from gaining free trade benefits by exporting to it through an Indian FTA partner.
But in a world of increasingly fragmented production processes, conditioning preferential access to India on higher single-country value additions is limiting. Instead, rules of origin customs designed with a more regional or sector-specific approach would improve India’s integration with international value chains.
A related issue is local content requirement, which countries impose when they seek to grow local industries (as India does with manufacturing).
India requires foreign investors who want to source inputs from other countries for efficient production to buy Indian instead, which goes against the design of improved production through value chains and makes the country a less appealing investment destination for international manufacturing.
The country would do well to consider these issues as it takes part in ongoing negotiations of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, a proposed trade agreement between the ten ASEAN nations and six other regional partners, including India, China and Australia.
Given India’s increasing integration within Asia, the agreement holds real potential for further inserting its transport, electrical and optical equipment sectors into global value chains. But doing so effectively will require a careful re-examination at rules of origin and local content requirements.
Domestic reforms for greater global integration
Unravelling India’s potential to become an Asian manufacturing hub will be no easy feat.
To go bigger, Indian industry needs improved transportation infrastructure and quicker customs clearances, easing the movement of goods between ports and factories.
Compared to China, with its high-speed transit to and from ports, India lags well behind. Even compared to other Asian countries, India’s tranport time is high.
Laws, too, have historically inhibited growth of Indian manufacturing. Expansion and retraction are both subject to numerous government-approval processes, which reduces flexibility.
India’s government has initiated reforms to facilitate investment through its ‘Make in India’ initiative, which it hopes will spur manufacturing. But has made little effort to improve or rationalise labour laws to better align with its national development interests.
Finally, global value chains are most beneficial for countries that contribute in the higher value-added segments of a production chain: it’s more lucrative to make the computer that controls the automated vehicle than its wheels.
This requires a skilled labour force, something that India – despite its many improvements in production and trade – has yet to achieve.
Deeparghya Mukherjee, Visiting Research Fellow, International Trade, National University of Singapore.